Value bet: Atlético Paso to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCalvo Sotelo to win ✗42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Paso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Paso travel to face Calvo Sotelo on Sunday 13 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Calvo Sotelo are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; Atlético Paso are 15th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Calvo Sotelo, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Gimnástica Segoviana, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Atlético Paso, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Numancia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Calvo Sotelo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Atlético Paso.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Calvo Sotelo 1.3 xG, Atlético Paso 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Calvo Sotelo 42%, draw 23%, Atlético Paso 35%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Atlético Paso to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Calvo Sotelo 1–1 Atlético Paso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Calvo Sotelo42%fair 2.41 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Atlético Paso35%fair 2.85 · @3.50
2.50Expected goals
1.32Calvo Sotelo xG
1.18Atlético Paso xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Calvo Sotelo 1.3 – 1.2 Atlético Paso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Calvo Sotelo to win✗
42%
2.41
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.95
Draw no bet
Calvo Sotelo (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Paso +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Calvo Sotelo to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Calvo Sotelo / FT Calvo Sotelo✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
Calvo Sotelo – last 6
LWWDWW
6 Sep
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
0–3
L
2 Apr
@ Marchamalo
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Tarancón
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Pedroñeras
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Sonseca
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs San Clemente
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atlético Paso – last 6
LDWDDD
6 Sep
vs Numancia
0–2
L
10 May
@ Herbania
1–1
D
3 May
vs Las Palmas III
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Telde
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Marino
0–0
D
2 Apr
vs Mensajero
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Calvo Sotelo and Atlético Paso.
What is the prediction for Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Paso?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Paso?
On our numbers Calvo Sotelo have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlético Paso 35%.
How many goals will there be in Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Paso?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Paso?
Our predicted score is Calvo Sotelo 1–1 Atlético Paso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Paso?
Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Paso (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
