Albacete II 57%Draw 25%Atlético Paso 18%Expected goals 1.86 – 0.97
82%
Betarazi pick
Albacete II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Albacete II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlbacete II to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceAlbacete II or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Albacete II vs Atlético Paso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Paso travel to face Albacete II on Sunday 27 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Albacete II are 10th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Atlético Paso are 15th (lower half) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Albacete II, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Real Valladolid II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atlético Paso, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to A Madrid III, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Albacete II, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Atlético Paso.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albacete II 1.9 xG, Atlético Paso 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albacete II 57%, draw 25%, Atlético Paso 18%.
Lower-risk option: Albacete II or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Albacete II to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Albacete II or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albacete II 1–0 Atlético Paso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albacete II57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.00
Atlético Paso18%fair 5.54 · @3.70
2.83Expected goals
1.86Albacete II xG
0.97Atlético Paso xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Albacete II 1.9 – 1.0 Atlético Paso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albacete II to win✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Albacete II or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Draw no bet
Albacete II (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Paso +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Albacete II to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Albacete II ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albacete II / FT Albacete II✗
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Albacete II – last 6
LWDWLW
20 Sep
@ Real Valladolid II
1–6
L
12 Sep
vs Atlético Tordesillas
4–3
W
6 Sep
@ Real Madrid III
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs Leioa
2–0
W
13 Jun
@ Leioa
0–1
L
6 Jun
vs Manchego
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atlético Paso – last 6
LDLDWD
19 Sep
vs A Madrid III
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Calvo Sotelo
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Numancia
0–2
L
10 May
@ Herbania
1–1
D
3 May
vs Las Palmas III
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Telde
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albacete II and Atlético Paso.
What is the prediction for Albacete II vs Atlético Paso?
Our pick is Albacete II or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Albacete II vs Atlético Paso?
On our numbers Albacete II have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlético Paso 18%.
How many goals will there be in Albacete II vs Atlético Paso?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albacete II vs Atlético Paso?
Our predicted score is Albacete II 1–0 Atlético Paso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Albacete II vs Atlético Paso?
Albacete II vs Atlético Paso (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
