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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Navalcarnero v Conquense: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain

Navalcarnero

WDWDL
1–3
FT

Conquense

WWDLL
Navalcarnero 37%Draw 25%Conquense 38% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.34
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultConquense to win ✓38% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.08

Navalcarnero vs Conquense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 27 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Navalcarnero against Conquense. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Navalcarnero are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Conquense are 4th (among the top four) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Navalcarnero, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Saguntino, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Conquense, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Salamanca UDS, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Navalcarnero, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Conquense.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Navalcarnero 2–0 Conquense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Navalcarnero 1.3 xG, Conquense 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Navalcarnero 37%, draw 25%, Conquense 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Navalcarnero 1–1 Conquense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Navalcarnero37%fair 2.69 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.75
Conquense38%fair 2.65 · @2.62
2.67Expected goals
1.33Navalcarnero xG
1.34Conquense xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Navalcarnero 1.3 – 1.3 Conquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultConquense to win ✓38%2.652.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.40 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.95 ▲
Draw no betConquense (draw no bet) ✓50%1.99–
Asian handicapNavalcarnero +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreConquense to score first47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Conquense / FT Conquense ✗22%4.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.08–

Recent results

Navalcarnero – last 6

WDWDLW
23 Sep@ Saguntino4–0W
20 Sep@ Atlético Tordesillas2–2D
13 Sepvs Real Ávila2–1W
9 Sep@ CF Talavera0–0D
6 Sep@ Real Valladolid II0–1L
3 Mayvs Fuenlabrada3–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Conquense – last 6

WWDLLD
20 Sepvs Salamanca UDS1–0W
13 Sep@ Gimnástica Segoviana2–1W
6 Sepvs Getafe II2–2D
31 Mayvs UD Ourense0–2L
24 May@ UD Ourense0–1L
17 Mayvs Xerez0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Navalcarnero v Conquense2–0
Navalcarnero vs Conquense head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub
FT Albacete II2 Atlético Paso2 157%1.95X25%3.00218%3.70 1.9–1.0xG 1XAlbacete II or draw 82%@1.25 ✓
FT CF Talavera2 Real Valladolid II1 135%2.05X24%2.90240%3.40 1.1–1.2xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.83 ✗
FT Real Ávila1 Getafe II0 145%2.15X23%3.20233%3.00 1.4–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 55%@1.67 ✓
FT Salamanca UDS3 RSD Alcalá0 141%2.20X24%2.90235%3.10 1.7–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.75 ✗
FT Numancia1 Guadalajara0 158%1.73X20%3.40222%4.10 1.6–0.8xG 1Numancia to win 58%@1.73 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Navalcarnero vs Conquense?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Navalcarnero vs Conquense?

On our numbers Navalcarnero have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Conquense 38%.

How many goals will there be in Navalcarnero vs Conquense?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Navalcarnero vs Conquense?

Our predicted score is Navalcarnero 1–1 Conquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Navalcarnero vs Conquense?

Navalcarnero vs Conquense (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.