CF Talavera v Real Valladolid II Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultReal Valladolid II to win ✗40% · @3.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.46

CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Valladolid II travel to face CF Talavera on Sunday 27 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5, with Estadio El Prado the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, CF Talavera are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; Real Valladolid II are 6th (upper half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

CF Talavera, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Getafe II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Real Valladolid II, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Albacete II, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Real Valladolid II, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for CF Talavera.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CF Talavera 1.1 xG, Real Valladolid II 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – CF Talavera 35%, draw 24%, Real Valladolid II 40%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Real Valladolid II to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Talavera 0–1 Real Valladolid II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CF Talavera35%fair 2.82 · @2.05

Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90

Real Valladolid II40%fair 2.48 · @3.40

2.33Expected goals

1.11CF Talavera xG

1.22Real Valladolid II xG

49%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–112%

1–011%

0–010%

1–28%

2–17%

From our goals model: CF Talavera 1.1 – 1.2 Real Valladolid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Real Valladolid II to win ✗	40%	2.48	3.40 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.36
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	51%	1.95	1.83
Draw no bet	Real Valladolid II (draw no bet) ✗	53%	1.88	–
Asian handicap	CF Talavera +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	59%	1.70	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Real Valladolid II to score first ✗	47%	2.12	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Real Valladolid II / FT Real Valladolid II ✗	22%	4.56	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	12%	8.46	–

CF Talavera – last 6

DDDLLD

20 Sep	@ Getafe II	1–1	D
13 Sep	vs Real Madrid III	0–0	D
9 Sep	vs Navalcarnero	0–0	D
6 Sep	@ RSD Alcalá	0–3	L
19 Aug	vs Getafe II	0–1	L
14 Aug	@ Illescas	1–1	D

0.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Real Valladolid II – last 6

WLWDWW

20 Sep	vs Albacete II	6–1	W
12 Sep	@ SS Reyes	0–1	L
6 Sep	vs Navalcarnero	1–0	W
12 Aug	vs Leganés II	3–3	D
3 May	vs Burgos Promesas	2–0	W
26 Apr	@ Deportivo La Coruña II	1–0	W

2.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Numancia	10	5	4	1	+11	19
2	Salamanca UDS	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	SS Reyes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Conquense	9	5	3	1	+9	18
5	A Madrid III	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Real Valladolid II	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Navalcarnero	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	10	3	4	3	0	13
10	Albacete II	10	3	3	4	-11	12
11	Real Madrid III	10	2	5	3	-1	11
12	Atlético Tordesillas	10	2	4	4	0	10
13	RSD Alcalá	10	2	4	4	-1	10
14	Gimnástica Segoviana	10	2	4	4	-1	10
15	Atlético Paso	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Getafe II	10	1	5	4	-4	8
17	Real Ávila	10	2	1	7	-10	7
18	Calvo Sotelo	10	1	3	6	-14	6

Team

Pts

+11

-11

-1

-1

-1

-2

-4

-10

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II?

On our numbers CF Talavera have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Valladolid II 40%.

How many goals will there be in CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II?

Our predicted score is CF Talavera 0–1 Real Valladolid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II?

CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Prado.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

CF Talavera v Real Valladolid II: numbers & prediction