Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultRSD Alcalá to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
RSD Alcalá welcome Navalcarnero for a Segunda División RFEF Group 5 fixture on Sunday 4 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, RSD Alcalá are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Navalcarnero are 7th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
RSD Alcalá, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Salamanca UDS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Navalcarnero, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Real Murcia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Navalcarnero, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for RSD Alcalá.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended RSD Alcalá 1–0 Navalcarnero.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RSD Alcalá 1.9 xG, Navalcarnero 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RSD Alcalá 47%, draw 22%, Navalcarnero 31%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: RSD Alcalá 1–1 Navalcarnero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RSD Alcalá47%fair 2.12 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Navalcarnero31%fair 3.21 · @3.25
3.50Expected goals
1.95RSD Alcalá xG
1.55Navalcarnero xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: RSD Alcalá 1.9 – 1.6 Navalcarnero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero?
On our numbers RSD Alcalá have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Navalcarnero 31%.
How many goals will there be in RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero?
Our predicted score is RSD Alcalá 1–1 Navalcarnero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero?
RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
