Real Valladolid II 62%Draw 22%Calvo Sotelo 15%Expected goals 1.70 – 0.68
85%
Betarazi pick
Real Valladolid II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Real Valladolid II to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Valladolid II to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceReal Valladolid II or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Real Valladolid II against Calvo Sotelo. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Real Valladolid II are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Calvo Sotelo are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Real Valladolid II, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CF Talavera, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Calvo Sotelo, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atlético Tordesillas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Valladolid II 1.7 xG, Calvo Sotelo 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Valladolid II 62%, draw 22%, Calvo Sotelo 15%.
Lower-risk option: Real Valladolid II or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Real Valladolid II to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Valladolid II or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Valladolid II 1–0 Calvo Sotelo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Valladolid II62%fair 1.60 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.60
Calvo Sotelo15%fair 6.53 · @3.90
2.38Expected goals
1.70Real Valladolid II xG
0.68Calvo Sotelo xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Real Valladolid II 1.7 – 0.7 Calvo Sotelo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Valladolid II to win✓
62%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Real Valladolid II or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.70
Draw no bet
Real Valladolid II (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Real Valladolid II -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Real Valladolid II to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Valladolid II / FT Real Valladolid II✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
Real Valladolid II – last 6
LWLWDW
27 Sep
@ CF Talavera
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Albacete II
6–1
W
12 Sep
@ SS Reyes
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Navalcarnero
1–0
W
12 Aug
vs Leganés II
3–3
D
3 May
vs Burgos Promesas
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Calvo Sotelo – last 6
WLDLWW
27 Sep
vs Atlético Tordesillas
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Real Ávila
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Atlético Paso
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
0–3
L
2 Apr
@ Marchamalo
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Tarancón
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Valladolid II and Calvo Sotelo.
What is the prediction for Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo?
Our pick is Real Valladolid II or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo?
On our numbers Real Valladolid II have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Calvo Sotelo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo?
Our predicted score is Real Valladolid II 1–0 Calvo Sotelo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo?
Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
