Value bet: Real Ávila to win @ 3.70 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSS Reyes to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.31
SS Reyes vs Real Ávila: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Ávila travel to face SS Reyes on Sunday 4 October in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, SS Reyes are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Real Ávila are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
SS Reyes, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gimnástica Segoviana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Ávila, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Getafe II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SS Reyes 1.2 xG, Real Ávila 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SS Reyes 47%, draw 24%, Real Ávila 29%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Real Ávila to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.86, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: SS Reyes 1–1 Real Ávila. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SS Reyes47%fair 2.15 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Real Ávila29%fair 3.44 · @3.70
2.13Expected goals
1.24SS Reyes xG
0.89Real Ávila xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: SS Reyes 1.2 – 0.9 Real Ávila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SS Reyes to win✓
47%
2.15
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.95
Draw no bet
SS Reyes (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Real Ávila +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
SS Reyes to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SS Reyes / FT SS Reyes✓
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.31
–
Recent results
SS Reyes – last 6
LDWWLW
26 Sep
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Numancia
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Real Valladolid II
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Atlético Tordesillas
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs Atlético Baleares
0–3
L
30 May
vs UD Logroñés
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Ávila – last 6
WWLLWW
27 Sep
vs Getafe II
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Calvo Sotelo
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Navalcarnero
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ A Madrid III
1–2
L
12 Aug
@ Atlético Tordesillas
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SS Reyes and Real Ávila.
What is the prediction for SS Reyes vs Real Ávila?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win SS Reyes vs Real Ávila?
On our numbers SS Reyes have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Ávila 29%.
How many goals will there be in SS Reyes vs Real Ávila?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SS Reyes vs Real Ávila?
Our predicted score is SS Reyes 1–1 Real Ávila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is SS Reyes vs Real Ávila?
SS Reyes vs Real Ávila (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
