Conquense 67%Draw 19%Albacete II 14%Expected goals 2.28 – 0.95
67%
Betarazi pick
Conquense to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultConquense to win ✓67% · @1.50
Double chanceConquense or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Conquense vs Albacete II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Conquense v Albacete II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5. In the table, Conquense are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Albacete II are 10th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Conquense, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to A Madrid III, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Albacete II, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to CF Talavera, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Conquense 2.3 xG, Albacete II 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 50% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Conquense 67%, draw 19%, Albacete II 14%.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Conquense to win (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Conquense 2–0 Albacete II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Conquense67%fair 1.49 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.70
Albacete II14%fair 7.19 · @5.50
3.23Expected goals
2.28Conquense xG
0.95Albacete II xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Conquense 2.3 – 1.0 Albacete II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Conquense to win✓
67%
1.49
1.50
Double chance
Conquense or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Conquense (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Conquense -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
First team to score
Conquense to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Conquense ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Conquense / FT Conquense✓
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Conquense – last 6
LWWWDL
4 Oct
@ A Madrid III
2–3
L
27 Sep
@ Navalcarnero
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Salamanca UDS
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Getafe II
2–2
D
31 May
vs UD Ourense
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Albacete II – last 6
LDLWDW
3 Oct
vs CF Talavera
0–4
L
27 Sep
vs Atlético Paso
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ Real Valladolid II
1–6
L
12 Sep
vs Atlético Tordesillas
4–3
W
6 Sep
@ Real Madrid III
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs Leioa
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Conquense and Albacete II.
What is the prediction for Conquense vs Albacete II?
Our pick is Conquense to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Conquense vs Albacete II?
On our numbers Conquense have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Albacete II 14%.
How many goals will there be in Conquense vs Albacete II?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Conquense vs Albacete II?
Our predicted score is Conquense 2–0 Albacete II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Conquense vs Albacete II?
Conquense vs Albacete II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
