Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Calvo Sotelo welcome RSD Alcalá for a Segunda División RFEF Group 5 fixture on Sunday 11 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Calvo Sotelo are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; RSD Alcalá are 13th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Calvo Sotelo, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Real Valladolid II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
RSD Alcalá, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Navalcarnero, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Calvo Sotelo 1.4 xG, RSD Alcalá 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Calvo Sotelo 34%, draw 25%, RSD Alcalá 41%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Calvo Sotelo 1–1 RSD Alcalá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Calvo Sotelo34%fair 2.95 · @2.75
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
RSD Alcalá41%fair 2.42 · @2.50
3.00Expected goals
1.41Calvo Sotelo xG
1.59RSD Alcalá xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Calvo Sotelo 1.4 – 1.6 RSD Alcalá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RSD Alcalá to win✗
41%
2.42
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Draw no bet
RSD Alcalá (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Calvo Sotelo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
RSD Alcalá to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RSD Alcalá / FT RSD Alcalá✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Calvo Sotelo – last 6
LWLDLW
4 Oct
@ Real Valladolid II
0–3
L
27 Sep
vs Atlético Tordesillas
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Real Ávila
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Atlético Paso
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
0–3
L
2 Apr
@ Marchamalo
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
RSD Alcalá – last 6
LLWLWD
4 Oct
vs Navalcarnero
1–3
L
27 Sep
@ Salamanca UDS
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
5–2
W
13 Sep
@ Guadalajara
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs CF Talavera
3–0
W
19 Aug
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Calvo Sotelo and RSD Alcalá.
What is the prediction for Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá?
On our numbers Calvo Sotelo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and RSD Alcalá 41%.
How many goals will there be in Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá?
Our predicted score is Calvo Sotelo 1–1 RSD Alcalá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá?
Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
