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Gimnástica Segoviana v Real Valladolid II: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain · Estadio La Albuera
Gimnástica Segoviana 41%Draw 23%Real Valladolid II 36% Expected goals 1.86 – 1.74
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds
2

Value bet: Real Valladolid II to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGimnástica Segoviana to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.15

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 11 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Gimnástica Segoviana against Real Valladolid II at Estadio La Albuera. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnástica Segoviana are 14th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Real Valladolid II are 6th (upper half) with 17.

Current form

Gimnástica Segoviana, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Guadalajara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Real Valladolid II, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Calvo Sotelo, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Real Valladolid II, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Gimnástica Segoviana.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Gimnástica Segoviana 1–2 Real Valladolid II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimnástica Segoviana 1.9 xG, Real Valladolid II 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnástica Segoviana 41%, draw 23%, Real Valladolid II 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Real Valladolid II to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnástica Segoviana 1–1 Real Valladolid II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimnástica Segoviana41%fair 2.43 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Real Valladolid II36%fair 2.78 · @3.25
3.60Expected goals
1.86Gimnástica Segoviana xG
1.74Real Valladolid II xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Gimnástica Segoviana 1.9 – 1.7 Real Valladolid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGimnástica Segoviana to win ✗41%2.432.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.67 ▲
Draw no betGimnástica Segoviana (draw no bet)53%1.88–
Asian handicapReal Valladolid II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.94–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.42–
First team to scoreGimnástica Segoviana to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓36%2.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gimnástica Segoviana / FT Gimnástica Segoviana ✗25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.15–

Recent results

Gimnástica Segoviana – last 6

DWLLWL
3 Oct@ Guadalajara3–3D
26 Sepvs SS Reyes2–0W
20 Sep@ RSD Alcalá2–5L
13 Sepvs Conquense1–2L
6 Sep@ Calvo Sotelo3–0W
29 Augvs Real Madrid III0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Real Valladolid II – last 6

WLWLWD
4 Octvs Calvo Sotelo3–0W
27 Sep@ CF Talavera1–2L
20 Sepvs Albacete II6–1W
12 Sep@ SS Reyes0–1L
6 Sepvs Navalcarnero1–0W
12 Augvs Leganés II3–3D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Gimnástica Segoviana v Real Valladolid II1–2
Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II?

On our numbers Gimnástica Segoviana have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Valladolid II 36%.

How many goals will there be in Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II?

Our predicted score is Gimnástica Segoviana 1–1 Real Valladolid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II?

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Albuera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.