Value bet: Atlético Tordesillas to win @ 3.18 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultA Madrid III to win ✗43% · @2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41
A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings A Madrid III against Atlético Tordesillas. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, A Madrid III are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 10 matches; Atlético Tordesillas are 12th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
A Madrid III, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CF Talavera, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Atlético Tordesillas, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Numancia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give A Madrid III 1.4 xG, Atlético Tordesillas 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – A Madrid III 43%, draw 23%, Atlético Tordesillas 34%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.71.
Price worth noting: Atlético Tordesillas to win @3.18 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: A Madrid III 1–1 Atlético Tordesillas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
A Madrid III43%fair 2.31 · @2.13
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.10
Atlético Tordesillas34%fair 2.97 · @3.18
2.61Expected goals
1.41A Madrid III xG
1.20Atlético Tordesillas xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–27%
0–07%
From our goals model: A Madrid III 1.4 – 1.2 Atlético Tordesillas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
A Madrid III to win✗
43%
2.31
2.13
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.71
Draw no bet
A Madrid III (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Tordesillas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
A Madrid III to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT A Madrid III / FT A Madrid III✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
A Madrid III – last 6
WLDDWW
31 Oct
vs CF Talavera
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Albacete II
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Navalcarnero
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Conquense
3–2
W
27 Sep
vs Real Madrid III
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atlético Tordesillas – last 6
LDDWDW
1 Nov
vs Numancia
1–2
L
27 Oct
vs Mirandes
3–3
D
24 Oct
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Guadalajara
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ Real Madrid III
0–0
D
4 Oct
vs Salamanca UDS
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between A Madrid III and Atlético Tordesillas.
What is the prediction for A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas?
On our numbers A Madrid III have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlético Tordesillas 34%.
How many goals will there be in A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas?
Our predicted score is A Madrid III 1–1 Atlético Tordesillas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas?
A Madrid III vs Atlético Tordesillas (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
