Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
RSD Alcalá travel to face Atlético Paso on Sunday 8 November in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Atlético Paso are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; RSD Alcalá are 13th (lower half) with 10. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atlético Paso, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Navalcarnero, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
RSD Alcalá, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Conquense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atlético Paso, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for RSD Alcalá.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Paso 1.4 xG, RSD Alcalá 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Paso 44%, draw 23%, RSD Alcalá 33%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.82.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Paso 1–1 RSD Alcalá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Paso44%fair 2.27 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.02
RSD Alcalá33%fair 3.06 · @2.77
2.58Expected goals
1.41Atlético Paso xG
1.17RSD Alcalá xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Atlético Paso 1.4 – 1.2 RSD Alcalá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Paso to win✗
44%
2.27
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.82
Draw no bet
Atlético Paso (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
RSD Alcalá +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Atlético Paso to score first✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Paso / FT Atlético Paso✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Atlético Paso – last 6
LWWDLW
1 Nov
@ Navalcarnero
1–3
L
27 Oct
vs Cordoba
3–1
W
24 Oct
vs Real Ávila
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Conquense
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ CF Talavera
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Real Madrid III
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
RSD Alcalá – last 6
DDLDDL
1 Nov
@ Conquense
2–2
D
27 Oct
vs Las Palmas
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs SS Reyes
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Real Madrid III
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Calvo Sotelo
0–0
D
4 Oct
vs Navalcarnero
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Paso and RSD Alcalá.
What is the prediction for Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá?
On our numbers Atlético Paso have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and RSD Alcalá 33%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá?
Our predicted score is Atlético Paso 1–1 RSD Alcalá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá?
Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
