Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.59
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.55
Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Numancia against Calvo Sotelo. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Numancia are 1st, leading the league, on 19 points after 10 matches; Calvo Sotelo are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Numancia, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Atlético Tordesillas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Calvo Sotelo, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Guadalajara, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Numancia 1.7 xG, Calvo Sotelo 0.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Numancia 68%, draw 22%, Calvo Sotelo 11%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.59.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Numancia 1–0 Calvo Sotelo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Numancia68%fair 1.48 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.00
Calvo Sotelo11%fair 9.20 · @7.50
2.27Expected goals
1.75Numancia xG
0.53Calvo Sotelo xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Numancia 1.7 – 0.5 Calvo Sotelo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Numancia to win✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Double chance
Numancia or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.59
Draw no bet
Numancia (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Numancia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Numancia to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Numancia ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Numancia / FT Numancia✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.55
–
Recent results
Numancia – last 6
WDLDDD
1 Nov
@ Atlético Tordesillas
2–1
W
29 Oct
vs Oviedo
3–3
D
24 Oct
vs Navalcarnero
2–3
L
18 Oct
vs CF Talavera
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Real Ávila
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Getafe II
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Calvo Sotelo – last 6
LDLDLW
1 Nov
vs Guadalajara
1–2
L
25 Oct
@ Getafe II
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ SS Reyes
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs RSD Alcalá
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Real Valladolid II
0–3
L
27 Sep
vs Atlético Tordesillas
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Numancia and Calvo Sotelo.
What is the prediction for Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?
On our numbers Numancia have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Calvo Sotelo 11%.
How many goals will there be in Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?
Our predicted score is Numancia 1–0 Calvo Sotelo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?
Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
