Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.39 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.39Odds
Picks by market
ResultGuadalajara to win ✗59% · @1.79
Double chanceGuadalajara or draw ✓83% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Guadalajara v Navalcarnero in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5. In the table, Guadalajara are 9th, upper half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Navalcarnero are 7th (upper half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Guadalajara, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Calvo Sotelo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Navalcarnero, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atlético Paso, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Navalcarnero, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Guadalajara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara 2.1 xG, Navalcarnero 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara 59%, draw 25%, Navalcarnero 17%.
Lower-risk option: Guadalajara or draw (83%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.61.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara 2–1 Navalcarnero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalajara59%fair 1.70 · @1.79
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.50
Navalcarnero17%fair 6.04 · @3.64
3.25Expected goals
2.14Guadalajara xG
1.11Navalcarnero xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Guadalajara 2.1 – 1.1 Navalcarnero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara to win✗
59%
1.70
1.79 ▲
Double chance
Guadalajara or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.61
Draw no bet
Guadalajara (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Guadalajara -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.39
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
First team to score
Guadalajara to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara / FT Guadalajara✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Guadalajara – last 6
WDLWDD
1 Nov
@ Calvo Sotelo
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Real Valladolid II
4–4
D
18 Oct
@ Atlético Tordesillas
0–3
L
11 Oct
vs Getafe II
4–1
W
7 Oct
@ Real Madrid III
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
3–3
D
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Navalcarnero – last 6
WWDDDW
1 Nov
vs Atlético Paso
3–1
W
24 Oct
@ Numancia
3–2
W
18 Oct
@ Salamanca UDS
1–1
D
14 Oct
@ Recreativo Huelva
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs A Madrid III
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ RSD Alcalá
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara and Navalcarnero.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero?
On our numbers Guadalajara have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Navalcarnero 17%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara 2–1 Navalcarnero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero?
Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
