Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOrleans to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 16.75
Orleans vs Rouen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Orleans welcome Rouen to Stade de la Source for a National 1 fixture on Friday 14 August (18:00 WAT). In the table, Orleans are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; Rouen are 2nd (among the top four) with 26. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Orleans, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Concarneau, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Rouen, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cannes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rouen, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Orleans.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orleans 0.9 xG, Rouen 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orleans 39%, draw 23%, Rouen 38%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orleans 0–0 Rouen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orleans39%fair 2.56 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Rouen38%fair 2.64 · @2.55
1.77Expected goals
0.90Orleans xG
0.88Rouen xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
1–015%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Orleans 0.9 – 0.9 Rouen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orleans to win✗
39%
2.56
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Draw no bet
Orleans (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Rouen +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.04
–
First team to score
Orleans to score first✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
16.75
–
Recent results
Orleans – last 6
WWLLDL
7 Aug
@ Concarneau
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Auxerre
2–1
W
21 Jul
@ RED Star FC 93
2–3
L
11 Jul
@ Clermont Foot
0–1
L
1 May
@ Versailles
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Quevilly
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rouen – last 6
DWWLDW
7 Aug
vs Cannes
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Boulogne
1–0
W
24 May
@ Laval
0–1
L
19 May
vs Laval
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Aubagne
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orleans and Rouen.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Orleans vs Rouen?
On our numbers Orleans have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rouen 38%.
How many goals will there be in Orleans vs Rouen?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orleans vs Rouen?
Our predicted score is Orleans 0–0 Rouen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Orleans vs Rouen?
Orleans vs Rouen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Source.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
