Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultValenciennes to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceValenciennes or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bourg-en-bresse 01 travel to face Valenciennes on Friday 14 August in the National 1, with Stade du Hainaut the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Valenciennes are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 12 matches; Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Valenciennes, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Caen, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Bourg-en-bresse 01, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Villefranche, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valenciennes 2.3 xG, Bourg-en-bresse 01 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valenciennes 57%, draw 25%, Bourg-en-bresse 01 18%.
Lower-risk option: Valenciennes or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Valenciennes or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valenciennes 2–1 Bourg-en-bresse 01. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valenciennes57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.20
Bourg-en-bresse 0118%fair 5.58 · @3.60
3.51Expected goals
2.25Valenciennes xG
1.26Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Valenciennes 2.3 – 1.3 Bourg-en-bresse 01 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valenciennes to win✓
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Valenciennes or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Valenciennes (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Bourg-en-bresse 01 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
First team to score
Valenciennes to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Valenciennes ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valenciennes / FT Valenciennes✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Valenciennes – last 6
LDWDLL
7 Aug
@ Caen
0–4
L
31 Jul
vs Boulogne
1–1
D
22 Jul
@ Eastleigh
3–0
W
18 Jul
@ Kortrijk
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Dijon
0–1
L
17 Apr
@ Fleury 91
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bourg-en-bresse 01 – last 6
WLDLLL
7 Aug
vs Villefranche
3–2
W
22 Jul
vs Dijon
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Grenoble
0–0
D
24 Apr
@ Sochaux
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs Caen
0–2
L
10 Apr
@ Dijon
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valenciennes and Bourg-en-bresse 01.
What is the prediction for Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Our pick is Valenciennes or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
On our numbers Valenciennes have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bourg-en-bresse 01 18%.
How many goals will there be in Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Our predicted score is Valenciennes 2–1 Bourg-en-bresse 01, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 (National 1) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Hainaut.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
