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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aubagne v Bourg-en-bresse 01: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny

Aubagne

LLLLL
2–0
FT
Aubagne 44%Draw 24%Bourg-en-bresse 01 31% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.06
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultAubagne to win ✓44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66

Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 29 August the National 1 brings Aubagne against Bourg-en-bresse 01 at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny. Kick-off: 13:45 WAT. In the table, Aubagne are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 12 matches; Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Aubagne, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Caen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Bourg-en-bresse 01, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Thionville Lusitanos, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Bourg-en-bresse 01, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.0 for Aubagne.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Aubagne 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aubagne 1.3 xG, Bourg-en-bresse 01 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aubagne 44%, draw 24%, Bourg-en-bresse 01 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aubagne 1–1 Bourg-en-bresse 01. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aubagne44%fair 2.26 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.95
Bourg-en-bresse 0131%fair 3.19 · @3.10
2.39Expected goals
1.33Aubagne xG
1.06Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Aubagne 1.3 – 1.1 Bourg-en-bresse 01 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAubagne to win ✓44%2.262.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.77
Draw no betAubagne (draw no bet) ✓58%1.71–
Asian handicapBourg-en-bresse 01 +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.461.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreAubagne to score first ✓50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aubagne / FT Aubagne ✓25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.66–

Recent results

Aubagne – last 6

LLLLLL
20 Aug@ Caen0–1L
14 Augvs Bastia0–1L
7 Augvs Thionville Lusitanos0–3L
11 Jul@ Montpellier2–3L
1 Mayvs Stade Briochin1–2L
24 Apr@ Rouen1–3L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bourg-en-bresse 01 – last 6

LLWLDL
20 Augvs Thionville Lusitanos0–2L
14 Aug@ Valenciennes0–2L
7 Augvs Villefranche3–2W
22 Julvs Dijon1–2L
11 Jul@ Grenoble0–0D
24 Apr@ Sochaux1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Aubagne v Bourg-en-bresse 011–0
Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

On our numbers Aubagne have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bourg-en-bresse 01 31%.

How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

Our predicted score is Aubagne 1–1 Bourg-en-bresse 01, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.