Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the National 1 brings Aubagne against Bourg-en-bresse 01 at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny. Kick-off: 13:45 WAT. In the table, Aubagne are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 12 matches; Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aubagne, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Caen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Bourg-en-bresse 01, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Thionville Lusitanos, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Bourg-en-bresse 01, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.0 for Aubagne.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Aubagne 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aubagne 1.3 xG, Bourg-en-bresse 01 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aubagne 44%, draw 24%, Bourg-en-bresse 01 31%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aubagne 1–1 Bourg-en-bresse 01. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aubagne44%fair 2.26 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.95
Bourg-en-bresse 0131%fair 3.19 · @3.10
2.39Expected goals
1.33Aubagne xG
1.06Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Aubagne 1.3 – 1.1 Bourg-en-bresse 01 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bourg-en-bresse 01 31%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Our predicted score is Aubagne 1–1 Bourg-en-bresse 01, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.