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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orleans v La Roche VF: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade de la Source

Orleans

WLWWL
0–1
FT
Orleans 44%Draw 23%La Roche VF 32% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.13
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: La Roche VF to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultOrleans to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46

Orleans vs La Roche VF: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

La Roche VF travel to face Orleans on Saturday 29 August in the National 1, with Stade de la Source the venue – the ball rolls at 13:45 WAT. In the table, Orleans are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; La Roche VF are 1st (leading the league) with 27. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Orleans, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fleury 91, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

La Roche VF, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cannes, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours La Roche VF, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Orleans.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orleans 1.4 xG, La Roche VF 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orleans 44%, draw 23%, La Roche VF 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: La Roche VF to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orleans 1–1 La Roche VF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orleans44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
La Roche VF32%fair 3.08 · @3.30
2.50Expected goals
1.37Orleans xG
1.13La Roche VF xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Orleans 1.4 – 1.1 La Roche VF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrleans to win ✗44%2.262.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.75
Draw no betOrleans (draw no bet) ✗58%1.73–
Asian handicapLa Roche VF +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreOrleans to score first ✗50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Orleans / FT Orleans ✗25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.46–

Recent results

Orleans – last 6

WLWWLL
20 Aug@ Fleury 912–0W
14 Augvs Rouen1–2L
7 Aug@ Concarneau2–0W
25 Jul@ Auxerre2–1W
21 Jul@ RED Star FC 932–3L
11 Jul@ Clermont Foot0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

La Roche VF – last 6

DWWDWD
20 Augvs Cannes1–1D
14 Aug@ Amiens1–0W
7 Augvs Versailles3–2W
22 Jul@ Nantes1–1D
18 Jul@ Le Mans3–2W
17 Aprvs Angoulême1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Orleans and La Roche VF.

Orleans vs La Roche VF head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orleans vs La Roche VF?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Orleans vs La Roche VF?

On our numbers Orleans have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and La Roche VF 32%.

How many goals will there be in Orleans vs La Roche VF?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orleans vs La Roche VF?

Our predicted score is Orleans 1–1 La Roche VF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Orleans vs La Roche VF?

Orleans vs La Roche VF (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Source.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.