Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultThionville Lusitanos to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceThionville Lusitanos or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:45 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Thionville Lusitanos v Gobelins in the National 1, played at Stadium Plaine. In the table, Thionville Lusitanos are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Gobelins are 9th (upper half) with 16. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Thionville Lusitanos, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bourg-en-bresse 01, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gobelins, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Valenciennes, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thionville Lusitanos 1.7 xG, Gobelins 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thionville Lusitanos 58%, draw 23%, Gobelins 19%.
Lower-risk option: Thionville Lusitanos or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Thionville Lusitanos or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thionville Lusitanos 1–0 Gobelins. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thionville Lusitanos58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Gobelins19%fair 5.19 · @3.70
2.60Expected goals
1.73Thionville Lusitanos xG
0.88Gobelins xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Thionville Lusitanos 1.7 – 0.9 Gobelins expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Thionville Lusitanos to win✗
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Thionville Lusitanos or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Thionville Lusitanos (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Gobelins +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Thionville Lusitanos to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Thionville Lusitanos / FT Thionville Lusitanos✗
36%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Thionville Lusitanos – last 6
WWWDWD
20 Aug
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Caen
4–3
W
7 Aug
@ Aubagne
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Nancy
2–2
D
11 Jul
@ Progres Niederkorn
5–0
W
29 Mar
vs Beauvais
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gobelins – last 6
WLWWWD
20 Aug
vs Valenciennes
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Villefranche
0–2
L
7 Aug
vs Quevilly
1–0
W
15 Jul
@ Caen
4–3
W
11 Jul
@ Amiens
4–2
W
30 Apr
@ Concarneau
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thionville Lusitanos and Gobelins.
What is the prediction for Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins?
Our pick is Thionville Lusitanos or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins?
On our numbers Thionville Lusitanos have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gobelins 19%.
How many goals will there be in Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins?
Our predicted score is Thionville Lusitanos 1–0 Gobelins, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins?
Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Plaine.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
