Value bet: Concarneau to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultValenciennes to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.35
Valenciennes vs Concarneau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the National 1 brings Valenciennes against Concarneau at Stade du Hainaut. Kick-off: 13:45 WAT. In the table, Valenciennes are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 12 matches; Concarneau are 6th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Valenciennes, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gobelins, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Concarneau, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Villefranche, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Concarneau, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Valenciennes.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Concarneau 1–2 Valenciennes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valenciennes 1.3 xG, Concarneau 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valenciennes 39%, draw 24%, Concarneau 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Concarneau to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valenciennes 1–1 Concarneau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valenciennes39%fair 2.59 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Concarneau37%fair 2.68 · @3.00
2.49Expected goals
1.26Valenciennes xG
1.23Concarneau xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Valenciennes 1.3 – 1.2 Concarneau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Valenciennes vs Concarneau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Concarneau?
On our numbers Valenciennes have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Concarneau 37%.
How many goals will there be in Valenciennes vs Concarneau?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenciennes vs Concarneau?
Our predicted score is Valenciennes 1–1 Concarneau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Valenciennes vs Concarneau?
Valenciennes vs Concarneau (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Hainaut.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
