Value bet: Amiens to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBastia to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 15.72
Bastia vs Amiens: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Amiens travel to face Bastia on Saturday 5 September in the National 1, with Stade Armand Cesari the venue – the ball rolls at 13:45 WAT. In the table, Bastia are 13th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Amiens are 5th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Bastia, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Caen, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Amiens, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Versailles, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Amiens, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Bastia.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Bastia 1–1 Amiens.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bastia 1.0 xG, Amiens 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bastia 43%, draw 24%, Amiens 33%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Amiens to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bastia 1–1 Amiens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bastia43%fair 2.33 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90
Amiens33%fair 3.05 · @3.50
1.75Expected goals
0.97Bastia xG
0.78Amiens xG
52%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Bastia 1.0 – 0.8 Amiens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Bastia vs Amiens?
On our numbers Bastia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Amiens 33%.
How many goals will there be in Bastia vs Amiens?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bastia vs Amiens?
Our predicted score is Bastia 1–1 Amiens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Bastia vs Amiens?
Bastia vs Amiens (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Armand Cesari.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
