Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Caen to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCaen to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceCaen or draw ✓84% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bourg-en-bresse 01 welcome Caen to Stade Marcel-Verchere for a National 1 fixture on Saturday 5 September (13:45 WAT). In the table, Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Caen are 3rd (among the top four) with 22. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bourg-en-bresse 01, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Aubagne, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Caen, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bastia, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Caen, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Bourg-en-bresse 01.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–2 Caen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bourg-en-bresse 01 1.0 xG, Caen 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bourg-en-bresse 01 16%, draw 25%, Caen 58%.
Lower-risk option: Caen or draw (84%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Caen to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Caen or draw (84%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bourg-en-bresse 01 1–1 Caen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bourg-en-bresse 0116%fair 6.07 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.20
Caen58%fair 1.71 · @1.95
3.00Expected goals
1.01Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
1.99Caen xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–210%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Bourg-en-bresse 01 1.0 – 2.0 Caen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen?
Our pick is Caen or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen?
On our numbers Bourg-en-bresse 01 have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Caen 58%.
How many goals will there be in Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen?
Our predicted score is Bourg-en-bresse 01 1–1 Caen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen?
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel-Verchere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
