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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

La Roche VF v Quevilly: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France
1–1
FT
La Roche VF 63%Draw 24%Quevilly 13% Expected goals 1.64 – 0.61
87%
Betarazi pick

La Roche VF or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: La Roche VF to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLa Roche VF to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceLa Roche VF or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59

La Roche VF vs Quevilly: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:45 WAT, Saturday 5 September: La Roche VF v Quevilly in the National 1. In the table, La Roche VF are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 12 matches; Quevilly are 10th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

La Roche VF, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Orleans, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Quevilly, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fleury 91, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours La Roche VF, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Quevilly.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give La Roche VF 1.6 xG, Quevilly 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – La Roche VF 63%, draw 24%, Quevilly 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: La Roche VF or draw (87%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: La Roche VF to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was La Roche VF or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Roche VF 1–0 Quevilly. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

La Roche VF63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.10
Quevilly13%fair 7.42 · @3.90
2.25Expected goals
1.64La Roche VF xG
0.61Quevilly xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: La Roche VF 1.6 – 0.6 Quevilly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLa Roche VF to win ✗63%1.591.80 ▲
Double chanceLa Roche VF or draw ✓87%1.161.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.961.80
Draw no betLa Roche VF (draw no bet)82%1.21–
Asian handicapLa Roche VF -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreLa Roche VF to score first ✗65%1.53–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT La Roche VF / FT La Roche VF ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.59–

Recent results

La Roche VF – last 6

WDWWDW
29 Aug@ Orleans1–0W
20 Augvs Cannes1–1D
14 Aug@ Amiens1–0W
7 Augvs Versailles3–2W
22 Jul@ Nantes1–1D
18 Jul@ Le Mans3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Quevilly – last 6

WLDLWL
29 Augvs Fleury 912–1W
20 Aug@ Rouen0–3L
14 Augvs Concarneau1–1D
7 Aug@ Gobelins0–1L
31 Julvs Oissel2–0W
18 Jul@ Amiens1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between La Roche VF and Quevilly.

La Roche VF vs Quevilly head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for La Roche VF vs Quevilly?

Our pick is La Roche VF or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win La Roche VF vs Quevilly?

On our numbers La Roche VF have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Quevilly 13%.

How many goals will there be in La Roche VF vs Quevilly?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for La Roche VF vs Quevilly?

Our predicted score is La Roche VF 1–0 Quevilly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is La Roche VF vs Quevilly?

La Roche VF vs Quevilly (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.