Aubagne vs Concarneau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Concarneau travel to face Aubagne on Saturday 12 September in the National 1, with Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny the venue – the ball rolls at 13:45 WAT. In the table, Aubagne are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 12 matches; Concarneau are 6th (upper half) with 20. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Aubagne, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gobelins, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Concarneau, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Thionville Lusitanos, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Concarneau, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Aubagne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aubagne 0.6 xG, Concarneau 1.1 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aubagne 26%, draw 24%, Concarneau 49%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aubagne 1–1 Concarneau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aubagne26%fair 3.78 · @3.40
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.90
Concarneau49%fair 2.02 · @2.00
1.70Expected goals
0.64Aubagne xG
1.06Concarneau xG
52%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–119%
0–018%
1–112%
1–012%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Aubagne 0.6 – 1.1 Concarneau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Concarneau to win✓
49%
2.02
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.75
Draw no bet
Concarneau (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Aubagne +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Concarneau to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
7%
15.24
–
Recent results
Aubagne – last 6
DWLLLL
5 Sep
@ Gobelins
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
20 Aug
@ Caen
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Bastia
0–1
L
7 Aug
vs Thionville Lusitanos
0–3
L
11 Jul
@ Montpellier
2–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Concarneau – last 6
DDWDLW
5 Sep
vs Thionville Lusitanos
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Valenciennes
0–0
D
20 Aug
vs Villefranche
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Quevilly
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Orleans
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Pontivy GSI
5–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aubagne and Concarneau.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Aubagne vs Concarneau?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Concarneau 49%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Concarneau?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Concarneau?
Our predicted score is Aubagne 1–1 Concarneau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Aubagne vs Concarneau?
Aubagne vs Concarneau (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
