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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Caen v Gobelins: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France

Caen

WLWLW
2–0
FT
Caen 60%Draw 20%Gobelins 19% Expected goals 1.58 – 0.72
60%
Betarazi pick

Caen to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultCaen to win ✓60% · @1.60
Double chanceCaen or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.32

Caen vs Gobelins: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 12 September the National 1 brings Caen against Gobelins. Kick-off: 13:45 WAT. In the table, Caen are 3rd, among the top four, on 22 points after 12 matches; Gobelins are 9th (upper half) with 16.

Current form

Caen, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bourg-en-bresse 01, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Gobelins, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Aubagne, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Jul 2026) it ended Caen 3–4 Gobelins. The last 2 head-to-heads: Caen 1 win, Gobelins 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Caen 1.6 xG, Gobelins 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Caen 60%, draw 20%, Gobelins 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Caen or draw (81%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Caen to win (60%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caen 1–0 Gobelins. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Caen60%fair 1.66 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.50
Gobelins19%fair 5.14 · @4.75
2.30Expected goals
1.58Caen xG
0.72Gobelins xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–012%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Caen 1.6 – 0.7 Gobelins expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCaen to win ✓60%1.661.60
Double chanceCaen or draw ✓81%1.241.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.85
Draw no betCaen (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapGobelins +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreCaen to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Caen / FT Caen ✓35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.32–

Recent results

Caen – last 6

WLWLWD
5 Sep@ Bourg-en-bresse 012–0W
27 Augvs Bastia0–1L
20 Augvs Aubagne1–0W
14 Aug@ Thionville Lusitanos3–4L
7 Augvs Valenciennes4–0W
31 Julvs Dieppe1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Gobelins – last 6

DDWLWW
5 Sepvs Aubagne0–0D
29 Aug@ Thionville Lusitanos1–1D
20 Augvs Valenciennes2–1W
14 Aug@ Villefranche0–2L
7 Augvs Quevilly1–0W
15 Jul@ Caen4–3W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Jul 2026Caen v Gobelins3–4
10 Apr 2026Gobelins v Caen0–3
Caen vs Gobelins head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Caen vs Gobelins?

Our pick is Caen to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Caen vs Gobelins?

On our numbers Caen have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gobelins 19%.

How many goals will there be in Caen vs Gobelins?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Caen vs Gobelins?

Our predicted score is Caen 1–0 Gobelins, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Caen vs Gobelins?

Caen vs Gobelins (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.