Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultRouen to win ✓47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Thionville Lusitanos vs Rouen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Thionville Lusitanos welcome Rouen to Stadium Plaine for a National 1 fixture on Saturday 12 September (13:45 WAT). In the table, Thionville Lusitanos are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Rouen are 2nd (among the top four) with 26.
Current form
Thionville Lusitanos, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Concarneau, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Rouen, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Valenciennes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thionville Lusitanos 1.2 xG, Rouen 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thionville Lusitanos 31%, draw 22%, Rouen 47%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thionville Lusitanos 1–1 Rouen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thionville Lusitanos31%fair 3.19 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.20
Rouen47%fair 2.13 · @2.05
2.80Expected goals
1.23Thionville Lusitanos xG
1.57Rouen xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Thionville Lusitanos 1.2 – 1.6 Rouen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✓
47%
2.13
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.75
Draw no bet
Rouen (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Thionville Lusitanos +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Rouen to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✓
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Thionville Lusitanos – last 6
DDWWWD
5 Sep
@ Concarneau
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Gobelins
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Caen
4–3
W
7 Aug
@ Aubagne
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Nancy
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rouen – last 6
DWWWDW
3 Sep
vs Valenciennes
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Villefranche
2–0
W
20 Aug
vs Quevilly
3–0
W
14 Aug
@ Orleans
2–1
W
7 Aug
vs Cannes
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thionville Lusitanos and Rouen.
What is the prediction for Thionville Lusitanos vs Rouen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Thionville Lusitanos vs Rouen?
On our numbers Thionville Lusitanos have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rouen 47%.
How many goals will there be in Thionville Lusitanos vs Rouen?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thionville Lusitanos vs Rouen?
Our predicted score is Thionville Lusitanos 1–1 Rouen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Thionville Lusitanos vs Rouen?
Thionville Lusitanos vs Rouen (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Plaine.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
