Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Bastia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:45 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Bourg-en-bresse 01 v Bastia in the National 1, played at Stade Marcel-Verchere. In the table, Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Bastia are 13th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Bourg-en-bresse 01, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Caen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Bastia, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Amiens, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bastia, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Bourg-en-bresse 01.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bourg-en-bresse 01 1.1 xG, Bastia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bourg-en-bresse 01 30%, draw 23%, Bastia 47%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bourg-en-bresse 01 1–1 Bastia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bourg-en-bresse 0130%fair 3.38 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Bastia47%fair 2.12 · @2.10
2.50Expected goals
1.06Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
1.44Bastia xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Bourg-en-bresse 01 1.1 – 1.4 Bastia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bastia to win✓
47%
2.12
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Draw no bet
Bastia (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Bourg-en-bresse 01 +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Bastia to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bastia / FT Bastia✓
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
Bourg-en-bresse 01 – last 6
LLLLWL
5 Sep
vs Caen
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Aubagne
0–2
L
20 Aug
vs Thionville Lusitanos
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Valenciennes
0–2
L
7 Aug
vs Villefranche
3–2
W
22 Jul
vs Dijon
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bastia – last 6
LWLWLL
5 Sep
vs Amiens
0–3
L
27 Aug
@ Caen
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs Versailles
2–3
L
14 Aug
@ Aubagne
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Le Puy Foot
0–2
L
10 Jul
@ Rodez
3–5
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bourg-en-bresse 01 and Bastia.
What is the prediction for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Bastia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Bastia?
On our numbers Bourg-en-bresse 01 have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bastia 47%.
How many goals will there be in Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Bastia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Bastia?
Our predicted score is Bourg-en-bresse 01 1–1 Bastia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Bastia?
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Bastia (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel-Verchere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
