Concarneau vs Caen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Concarneau welcome Caen to Stade Guy Piriou for a National 1 fixture on Saturday 19 September (13:45 WAT). In the table, Concarneau are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Caen are 3rd (among the top four) with 22. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Concarneau, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Aubagne, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Caen, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gobelins, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Caen, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Concarneau.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Concarneau 1.3 xG, Caen 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Concarneau 39%, draw 23%, Caen 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Concarneau 1–1 Caen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Concarneau39%fair 2.55 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.00
Caen38%fair 2.65 · @2.70
2.50Expected goals
1.27Concarneau xG
1.23Caen xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Concarneau 1.3 – 1.2 Caen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Concarneau to win✓
39%
2.55
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Draw no bet
Concarneau (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Caen +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Concarneau to score first✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Concarneau / FT Concarneau✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.33
–
Recent results
Concarneau – last 6
WDDWDL
12 Sep
@ Aubagne
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Thionville Lusitanos
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Valenciennes
0–0
D
20 Aug
vs Villefranche
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Quevilly
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Orleans
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Caen – last 6
WWLWLW
12 Sep
vs Gobelins
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
27 Aug
vs Bastia
0–1
L
20 Aug
vs Aubagne
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Thionville Lusitanos
3–4
L
7 Aug
vs Valenciennes
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Concarneau and Caen.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Concarneau vs Caen?
On our numbers Concarneau have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Caen 38%.
How many goals will there be in Concarneau vs Caen?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Concarneau vs Caen?
Our predicted score is Concarneau 1–1 Caen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Concarneau vs Caen?
Concarneau vs Caen (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
