Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultRouen to win ✓59% · @1.57
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.26
Rouen vs Aubagne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:45 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Rouen v Aubagne in the National 1, played at Stade Robert Diochon. In the table, Rouen are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 12 matches; Aubagne are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rouen, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Thionville Lusitanos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Aubagne, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Concarneau, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Rouen, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Aubagne.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Rouen 3–1 Aubagne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rouen 1.4 xG, Aubagne 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rouen 59%, draw 23%, Aubagne 18%.
Lower-risk option: Rouen or draw (82%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rouen to win (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rouen 1–0 Aubagne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rouen59%fair 1.69 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.50
Aubagne18%fair 5.58 · @5.00
2.00Expected goals
1.41Rouen xG
0.59Aubagne xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Rouen 1.4 – 0.6 Aubagne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Rouen to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Rouen vs Aubagne?
On our numbers Rouen have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aubagne 18%.
How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Aubagne?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Aubagne?
Our predicted score is Rouen 1–0 Aubagne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Rouen vs Aubagne?
Rouen vs Aubagne (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
