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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

La Roche VF v Valenciennes: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade Henri-Desgranges
3–2
FT
La Roche VF 46%Draw 24%Valenciennes 30% Expected goals 1.20 – 0.88
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultLa Roche VF to win ✓46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.64

La Roche VF vs Valenciennes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

La Roche VF welcome Valenciennes to Stade Henri-Desgranges for a National 1 fixture on Saturday 19 September (13:45 WAT). In the table, La Roche VF are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 12 matches; Valenciennes are 15th (lower half) with 10. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

La Roche VF, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Villefranche, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Valenciennes, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fleury 91, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours La Roche VF, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Valenciennes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give La Roche VF 1.2 xG, Valenciennes 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – La Roche VF 46%, draw 24%, Valenciennes 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Roche VF 1–1 Valenciennes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

La Roche VF46%fair 2.17 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90
Valenciennes30%fair 3.36 · @3.00
2.08Expected goals
1.20La Roche VF xG
0.88Valenciennes xG
53%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: La Roche VF 1.2 – 0.9 Valenciennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLa Roche VF to win ✓46%2.172.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.73
Draw no betLa Roche VF (draw no bet) ✓61%1.65–
Asian handicapValenciennes +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.63–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.53–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗94%1.06–
First team to scoreLa Roche VF to score first50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT La Roche VF / FT La Roche VF ✗25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.64–

Recent results

La Roche VF – last 6

DDWDWW
12 Sep@ Villefranche0–0D
5 Sepvs Quevilly1–1D
29 Aug@ Orleans1–0W
20 Augvs Cannes1–1D
14 Aug@ Amiens1–0W
7 Augvs Versailles3–2W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Valenciennes – last 6

LDDLWL
12 Sepvs Fleury 911–2L
3 Sep@ Rouen1–1D
29 Augvs Concarneau0–0D
20 Aug@ Gobelins1–2L
14 Augvs Bourg-en-bresse 012–0W
7 Aug@ Caen0–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between La Roche VF and Valenciennes.

La Roche VF vs Valenciennes head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for La Roche VF vs Valenciennes?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win La Roche VF vs Valenciennes?

On our numbers La Roche VF have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valenciennes 30%.

How many goals will there be in La Roche VF vs Valenciennes?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for La Roche VF vs Valenciennes?

Our predicted score is La Roche VF 1–1 Valenciennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is La Roche VF vs Valenciennes?

La Roche VF vs Valenciennes (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Henri-Desgranges.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.