La Roche VF vs Valenciennes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
La Roche VF welcome Valenciennes to Stade Henri-Desgranges for a National 1 fixture on Saturday 19 September (13:45 WAT). In the table, La Roche VF are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 12 matches; Valenciennes are 15th (lower half) with 10. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
La Roche VF, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Villefranche, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Valenciennes, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fleury 91, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours La Roche VF, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Valenciennes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give La Roche VF 1.2 xG, Valenciennes 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – La Roche VF 46%, draw 24%, Valenciennes 30%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Roche VF 1–1 Valenciennes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
La Roche VF46%fair 2.17 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90
Valenciennes30%fair 3.36 · @3.00
2.08Expected goals
1.20La Roche VF xG
0.88Valenciennes xG
53%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: La Roche VF 1.2 – 0.9 Valenciennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Roche VF to win✓
46%
2.17
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.73
Draw no bet
La Roche VF (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Valenciennes +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
La Roche VF to score first
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Roche VF / FT La Roche VF✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.64
–
Recent results
La Roche VF – last 6
DDWDWW
12 Sep
@ Villefranche
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Quevilly
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Orleans
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs Cannes
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ Amiens
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Versailles
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Valenciennes – last 6
LDDLWL
12 Sep
vs Fleury 91
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Rouen
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Concarneau
0–0
D
20 Aug
@ Gobelins
1–2
L
14 Aug
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Caen
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Roche VF and Valenciennes.
What is the prediction for La Roche VF vs Valenciennes?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win La Roche VF vs Valenciennes?
On our numbers La Roche VF have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valenciennes 30%.
How many goals will there be in La Roche VF vs Valenciennes?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Roche VF vs Valenciennes?
Our predicted score is La Roche VF 1–1 Valenciennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is La Roche VF vs Valenciennes?
La Roche VF vs Valenciennes (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Henri-Desgranges.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.