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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fleury 91 v Thionville Lusitanos: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade Robert Bobin
1–1
FT
Fleury 91 46%Draw 23%Thionville Lusitanos 31% Expected goals 1.81 – 1.44
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultFleury 91 to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95

Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Thionville Lusitanos travel to face Fleury 91 on Saturday 19 September in the National 1, with Stade Robert Bobin the venue – the ball rolls at 13:45 WAT. In the table, Fleury 91 are 12th, lower half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Thionville Lusitanos are 11th (lower half) with 16. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Fleury 91, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Valenciennes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Thionville Lusitanos, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Rouen, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Thionville Lusitanos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Fleury 91.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fleury 91 1.8 xG, Thionville Lusitanos 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fleury 91 46%, draw 23%, Thionville Lusitanos 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fleury 91 1–1 Thionville Lusitanos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fleury 9146%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Thionville Lusitanos31%fair 3.23 · @3.25
3.25Expected goals
1.81Fleury 91 xG
1.44Thionville Lusitanos xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Fleury 91 1.8 – 1.4 Thionville Lusitanos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFleury 91 to win ✗46%2.162.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.62
Draw no betFleury 91 (draw no bet)60%1.67–
Asian handicapThionville Lusitanos +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreFleury 91 to score first53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fleury 91 / FT Fleury 91 ✗28%3.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.95–

Recent results

Fleury 91 – last 6

WWLLDD
12 Sep@ Valenciennes2–1W
5 Sepvs Villefranche6–1W
29 Aug@ Quevilly1–2L
20 Augvs Orleans0–2L
14 Aug@ Cannes1–1D
7 Augvs Amiens0–0D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Thionville Lusitanos – last 6

LDDWWW
12 Sepvs Rouen0–4L
5 Sep@ Concarneau2–2D
29 Augvs Gobelins1–1D
20 Aug@ Bourg-en-bresse 012–0W
14 Augvs Caen4–3W
7 Aug@ Aubagne3–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fleury 91 and Thionville Lusitanos.

Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos?

On our numbers Fleury 91 have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Thionville Lusitanos 31%.

How many goals will there be in Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos?

Our predicted score is Fleury 91 1–1 Thionville Lusitanos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos?

Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Bobin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.