Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Bastia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBastia to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceBastia or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Bastia vs Quevilly: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bastia welcome Quevilly to Stade Armand Cesari for a National 1 fixture on Saturday 31 October (14:45 WAT). In the table, Bastia are 13th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Quevilly are 10th (lower half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bastia, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Concarneau, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Quevilly, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Orleans, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Quevilly, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Bastia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bastia 1.6 xG, Quevilly 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bastia 60%, draw 26%, Quevilly 14%.
Lower-risk option: Bastia or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Bastia to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bastia or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bastia 1–0 Quevilly. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bastia60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.10
Quevilly14%fair 6.96 · @3.80
2.25Expected goals
1.60Bastia xG
0.65Quevilly xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bastia 1.6 – 0.6 Quevilly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bastia to win✓
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Bastia or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Draw no bet
Bastia (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Bastia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Bastia to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bastia / FT Bastia✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Bastia – last 6
DDLDWL
17 Oct
@ Concarneau
1–1
D
1 Oct
vs Orleans
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Gobelins
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs Cannes
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Amiens
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Quevilly – last 6
WLDDWD
17 Oct
vs Orleans
3–2
W
3 Oct
@ Cannes
1–3
L
26 Sep
vs Amiens
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Versailles
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Le Puy Foot
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ La Roche VF
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bastia and Quevilly.
Our pick is Bastia or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bastia vs Quevilly?
On our numbers Bastia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Quevilly 14%.
How many goals will there be in Bastia vs Quevilly?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bastia vs Quevilly?
Our predicted score is Bastia 1–0 Quevilly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bastia vs Quevilly?
Bastia vs Quevilly (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Armand Cesari.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
