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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orleans v Villefranche: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade de la Source

Orleans

LDDLL
1–1
FT
Orleans 63%Draw 21%Villefranche 16% Expected goals 1.92 – 0.83
84%
Betarazi pick

Orleans or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Orleans to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOrleans to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceOrleans or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Orleans vs Villefranche: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Orleans welcome Villefranche to Stade de la Source for a National 1 fixture on Saturday 31 October (14:45 WAT). In the table, Orleans are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; Villefranche are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Orleans, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Quevilly, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Villefranche, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cannes, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Orleans 0–0 Villefranche.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orleans 1.9 xG, Villefranche 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orleans 63%, draw 21%, Villefranche 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Orleans or draw (84%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Orleans to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Orleans or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orleans 1–0 Villefranche. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orleans63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.30
Villefranche16%fair 6.37 · @3.90
2.75Expected goals
1.92Orleans xG
0.83Villefranche xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Orleans 1.9 – 0.8 Villefranche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrleans to win ✗63%1.591.75 ▲
Double chanceOrleans or draw ✓84%1.191.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.75
Draw no betOrleans (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapOrleans -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreOrleans to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultOrleans ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Orleans / FT Orleans ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

Orleans – last 6

LDDLLD
17 Oct@ Quevilly2–3L
1 Oct@ Bastia1–1D
26 Sepvs Cannes0–0D
19 Sep@ Amiens0–2L
12 Sepvs Versailles0–4L
5 Sep@ Le Puy Foot1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Villefranche – last 6

WLLLDL
17 Octvs Cannes2–1W
3 Oct@ Amiens0–3L
26 Sepvs Versailles1–2L
19 Sep@ Le Puy Foot1–4L
12 Sepvs La Roche VF0–0D
5 Sep@ Fleury 911–6L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Mar 2026Orleans v Villefranche0–0
Orleans vs Villefranche head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orleans vs Villefranche?

Our pick is Orleans or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Orleans vs Villefranche?

On our numbers Orleans have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Villefranche 16%.

How many goals will there be in Orleans vs Villefranche?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orleans vs Villefranche?

Our predicted score is Orleans 1–0 Villefranche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Orleans vs Villefranche?

Orleans vs Villefranche (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Source.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.