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La Roche VF v Bourg-en-bresse 01: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade Henri-Desgranges
2–0
FT
La Roche VF 64%Draw 22%Bourg-en-bresse 01 14% Expected goals 1.72 – 0.63
64%
Betarazi pick

La Roche VF to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultLa Roche VF to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceLa Roche VF or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:45 WAT, Saturday 31 October: La Roche VF v Bourg-en-bresse 01 in the National 1, played at Stade Henri-Desgranges. In the table, La Roche VF are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 12 matches; Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

La Roche VF, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Caen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Bourg-en-bresse 01, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fleury 91, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours La Roche VF, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Bourg-en-bresse 01.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give La Roche VF 1.7 xG, Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – La Roche VF 64%, draw 22%, Bourg-en-bresse 01 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: La Roche VF or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was La Roche VF to win (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Roche VF 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

La Roche VF64%fair 1.55 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.50
Bourg-en-bresse 0114%fair 7.31 · @4.60
2.35Expected goals
1.72La Roche VF xG
0.63Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: La Roche VF 1.7 – 0.6 Bourg-en-bresse 01 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLa Roche VF to win ✓64%1.551.62
Double chanceLa Roche VF or draw ✓86%1.161.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.991.80
Draw no betLa Roche VF (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapLa Roche VF -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreLa Roche VF to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultLa Roche VF ahead at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT La Roche VF / FT La Roche VF ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.26–

Recent results

La Roche VF – last 6

LWWWDD
15 Oct@ Caen1–2L
3 Octvs Aubagne3–1W
26 Sep@ Thionville Lusitanos2–1W
19 Sepvs Valenciennes3–2W
12 Sep@ Villefranche0–0D
5 Sepvs Quevilly1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bourg-en-bresse 01 – last 6

LLDDLL
17 Octvs Fleury 910–1L
3 Oct@ Rouen0–2L
26 Sepvs Concarneau1–1D
19 Sep@ Gobelins1–1D
12 Sepvs Bastia0–1L
5 Sepvs Caen0–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between La Roche VF and Bourg-en-bresse 01.

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

Our pick is La Roche VF to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

On our numbers La Roche VF have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bourg-en-bresse 01 14%.

How many goals will there be in La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

Our predicted score is La Roche VF 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Henri-Desgranges.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.