Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Rouen to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRouen to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.83
Rouen vs Concarneau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Concarneau travel to face Rouen on Saturday 31 October in the National 1, with Stade Robert Diochon the venue – the ball rolls at 14:45 WAT. In the table, Rouen are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 12 matches; Concarneau are 6th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Rouen, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Gobelins, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Concarneau, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bastia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Concarneau 0–0 Rouen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rouen 1.7 xG, Concarneau 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rouen 59%, draw 26%, Concarneau 15%.
Lower-risk option: Rouen or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Rouen to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rouen or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rouen 1–0 Concarneau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rouen59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.00
Concarneau15%fair 6.57 · @3.50
2.40Expected goals
1.67Rouen xG
0.73Concarneau xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Rouen 1.7 – 0.7 Concarneau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Rouen or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rouen vs Concarneau?
On our numbers Rouen have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Concarneau 15%.
How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Concarneau?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Concarneau?
Our predicted score is Rouen 1–0 Concarneau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rouen vs Concarneau?
Rouen vs Concarneau (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.