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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rouen v Concarneau: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade Robert Diochon

Rouen

LWLWW
2–1
FT
Rouen 59%Draw 26%Concarneau 15% Expected goals 1.67 – 0.73
85%
Betarazi pick

Rouen or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Rouen to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRouen to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.83

Rouen vs Concarneau: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Concarneau travel to face Rouen on Saturday 31 October in the National 1, with Stade Robert Diochon the venue – the ball rolls at 14:45 WAT. In the table, Rouen are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 12 matches; Concarneau are 6th (upper half) with 20.

Current form

Rouen, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Gobelins, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Concarneau, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bastia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Concarneau 0–0 Rouen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rouen 1.7 xG, Concarneau 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rouen 59%, draw 26%, Concarneau 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Rouen or draw (85%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Rouen to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Rouen or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rouen 1–0 Concarneau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rouen59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.00
Concarneau15%fair 6.57 · @3.50
2.40Expected goals
1.67Rouen xG
0.73Concarneau xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: Rouen 1.7 – 0.7 Concarneau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRouen to win ✓59%1.701.95 ▲
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓85%1.181.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.85
Draw no betRouen (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapConcarneau +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreRouen to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rouen / FT Rouen ✓37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.83–

Recent results

Rouen – last 6

LWLWWD
17 Oct@ Gobelins1–3L
3 Octvs Bourg-en-bresse 012–0W
24 Sep@ Caen2–3L
19 Sepvs Aubagne1–0W
12 Sep@ Thionville Lusitanos4–0W
3 Sepvs Valenciennes1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Concarneau – last 6

DWDWWD
17 Octvs Bastia1–1D
3 Octvs Gobelins2–1W
26 Sep@ Bourg-en-bresse 011–1D
19 Sepvs Caen2–0W
12 Sep@ Aubagne2–1W
5 Sepvs Thionville Lusitanos2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026Concarneau v Rouen0–0
Rouen vs Concarneau head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rouen vs Concarneau?

Our pick is Rouen or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Rouen vs Concarneau?

On our numbers Rouen have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Concarneau 15%.

How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Concarneau?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Concarneau?

Our predicted score is Rouen 1–0 Concarneau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Rouen vs Concarneau?

Rouen vs Concarneau (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.