Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Amiens to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAmiens to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceAmiens or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Aubagne vs Amiens: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Amiens travel to face Aubagne on Saturday 7 November in the National 1, with Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny the venue – the ball rolls at 14:45 WAT. In the table, Aubagne are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 12 matches; Amiens are 5th (upper half) with 20. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Aubagne, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Versailles, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Amiens, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Thionville Lusitanos, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Amiens, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Aubagne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aubagne 0.6 xG, Amiens 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aubagne 14%, draw 24%, Amiens 62%.
Lower-risk option: Amiens or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Amiens to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Amiens or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aubagne 0–1 Amiens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aubagne14%fair 7.15 · @3.75
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.50
Amiens62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
2.27Expected goals
0.63Aubagne xG
1.64Amiens xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–214%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Aubagne 0.6 – 1.6 Amiens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amiens to win✓
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Amiens or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.91
Draw no bet
Amiens (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Amiens -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.12
First team to score
Amiens to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amiens / FT Amiens✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
Aubagne – last 6
LLLWLL
31 Oct
@ Versailles
0–4
L
17 Oct
vs Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ La Roche VF
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ Fleury 91
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Rouen
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Concarneau
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Amiens – last 6
DDWDWD
29 Oct
vs Thionville Lusitanos
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Valenciennes
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Villefranche
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ Quevilly
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Orleans
2–0
W
10 Sep
@ Cannes
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aubagne and Amiens.
Our pick is Amiens or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Aubagne vs Amiens?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Amiens 62%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Amiens?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Amiens?
Our predicted score is Aubagne 0–1 Amiens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aubagne vs Amiens?
Aubagne vs Amiens (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
