Bastia travel to face Rouen on Saturday 7 November in the National 1, with Stade Robert Diochon the venue – the ball rolls at 14:45 WAT. In the table, Rouen are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 12 matches; Bastia are 13th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Rouen, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Concarneau, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Bastia, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Quevilly, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rouen, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Bastia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rouen 1.8 xG, Bastia 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rouen 62%, draw 25%, Bastia 13%.
Lower-risk option: Rouen or draw (87%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rouen 1–0 Bastia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rouen62%fair 1.62 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.50
Bastia13%fair 7.59 · @4.33
2.47Expected goals
1.77Rouen xG
0.70Bastia xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Rouen 1.8 – 0.7 Bastia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✓
62%
1.62
1.67
Double chance
Rouen or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.00
Draw no bet
Rouen (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Rouen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Rouen to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Rouen ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.77
–
Recent results
Rouen – last 6
WLWLWW
31 Oct
vs Concarneau
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Gobelins
1–3
L
3 Oct
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
24 Sep
@ Caen
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Aubagne
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Thionville Lusitanos
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bastia – last 6
WDDLDW
31 Oct
vs Quevilly
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Concarneau
1–1
D
1 Oct
vs Orleans
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Gobelins
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs Cannes
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rouen and Bastia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Rouen vs Bastia?
On our numbers Rouen have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bastia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Bastia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Bastia?
Our predicted score is Rouen 1–0 Bastia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rouen vs Bastia?
Rouen vs Bastia (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
