Value bet: Le Puy Foot to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLe Puy Foot to win ✗58% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.23
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Le Puy Foot: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the National 1 brings Bourg-en-bresse 01 against Le Puy Foot at Stade Marcel-Verchere. Kick-off: 14:45 WAT. In the table, Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Le Puy Foot are 8th (upper half) with 18. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bourg-en-bresse 01, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to La Roche VF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Le Puy Foot, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Caen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Le Puy Foot, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Bourg-en-bresse 01.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.8 xG, Le Puy Foot 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bourg-en-bresse 01 22%, draw 19%, Le Puy Foot 58%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Le Puy Foot to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Le Puy Foot. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bourg-en-bresse 0122%fair 4.46 · @3.40
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.50
Le Puy Foot58%fair 1.72 · @1.90
2.45Expected goals
0.84Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
1.61Le Puy Foot xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.8 – 1.6 Le Puy Foot expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Le Puy Foot to win✗
58%
1.72
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Draw no bet
Le Puy Foot (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Bourg-en-bresse 01 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Le Puy Foot to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Le Puy Foot / FT Le Puy Foot✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.23
–
Recent results
Bourg-en-bresse 01 – last 6
LLLDDL
31 Oct
@ La Roche VF
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Fleury 91
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Rouen
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Concarneau
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Gobelins
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Bastia
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Le Puy Foot – last 6
DWWLWL
31 Oct
vs Caen
2–2
D
17 Oct
@ Aubagne
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Thionville Lusitanos
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Valenciennes
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Villefranche
4–1
W
12 Sep
@ Quevilly
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bourg-en-bresse 01 and Le Puy Foot.
What is the prediction for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Le Puy Foot?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Le Puy Foot?
On our numbers Bourg-en-bresse 01 have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Le Puy Foot 58%.
How many goals will there be in Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Le Puy Foot?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Le Puy Foot?
Our predicted score is Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Le Puy Foot, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Le Puy Foot?
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Le Puy Foot (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel-Verchere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
