Value bet: Cannes to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCannes to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceCannes or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Thionville Lusitanos welcome Cannes to Stadium Plaine for a National 1 fixture on Saturday 7 November (14:45 WAT). In the table, Thionville Lusitanos are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Cannes are 7th (upper half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Thionville Lusitanos, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Amiens, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Cannes, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Valenciennes, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cannes, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Thionville Lusitanos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thionville Lusitanos 0.7 xG, Cannes 1.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thionville Lusitanos 14%, draw 22%, Cannes 64%.
Lower-risk option: Cannes or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Cannes to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thionville Lusitanos 0–2 Cannes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thionville Lusitanos14%fair 7.18 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.40
Cannes64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
2.59Expected goals
0.73Thionville Lusitanos xG
1.85Cannes xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%
From our goals model: Thionville Lusitanos 0.7 – 1.9 Cannes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cannes to win✗
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Cannes or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Draw no bet
Cannes (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Cannes -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
First team to score
Cannes to score first✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Cannes ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cannes / FT Cannes✗
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Thionville Lusitanos – last 6
DLLLDL
29 Oct
@ Amiens
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Versailles
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs La Roche VF
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Fleury 91
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Rouen
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cannes – last 6
WLWDDD
31 Oct
vs Valenciennes
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Villefranche
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Quevilly
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ Orleans
0–0
D
17 Sep
@ Bastia
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Amiens
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thionville Lusitanos and Cannes.
What is the prediction for Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?
On our numbers Thionville Lusitanos have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cannes 64%.
How many goals will there be in Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?
Our predicted score is Thionville Lusitanos 0–2 Cannes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?
Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Plaine.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
