Double chanceBorussia Dortmund or draw ✓91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 15.43
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SC Paderborn 07 travel to face Borussia Dortmund on Saturday 12 September in the Bundesliga, with Signal Iduna Park the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Borussia Dortmund are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 9 matches; SC Paderborn 07 are 13th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Borussia Dortmund, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Villarreal, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
SC Paderborn 07, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to SC Freiburg, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Borussia Dortmund, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for SC Paderborn 07.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Borussia Dortmund 1.6 xG, SC Paderborn 07 0.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Borussia Dortmund 72%, draw 19%, SC Paderborn 07 9%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Borussia Dortmund to win (72%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Borussia Dortmund 1–0 SC Paderborn 07. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Borussia Dortmund72%fair 1.39 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @6.00
SC Paderborn 079%fair 10.77 · @9.50
2.00Expected goals
1.65Borussia Dortmund xG
0.35SC Paderborn 07 xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
2–018%
0–014%
3–010%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Borussia Dortmund 1.6 – 0.4 SC Paderborn 07 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win✓
72%
1.39
1.22
Double chance
Borussia Dortmund or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.67
Draw no bet
Borussia Dortmund (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Borussia Dortmund -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Borussia Dortmund to score first✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
15.43
–
Recent results
Borussia Dortmund – last 6
WWWWLD
8 Sep
vs Villarreal
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
1 Sep
@ HEBC
5–0
W
29 Aug
vs Hamburger SV
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Bayern München
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs AS Roma
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
SC Paderborn 07 – last 6
LDWDWD
5 Sep
vs SC Freiburg
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ FSV Mainz 05
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Phönix Lübeck
4–2
W
8 Aug
@ Werder Bremen
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ VfL Osnabrück
2–0
W
25 May
vs VfL Wolfsburg
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Dortmund and SC Paderborn 07.
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our pick is Borussia Dortmund to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
On our numbers Borussia Dortmund have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and SC Paderborn 07 9%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our predicted score is Borussia Dortmund 1–0 SC Paderborn 07, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Signal Iduna Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
