Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: FSV Mainz 05 to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFSV Mainz 05 to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceFSV Mainz 05 or draw ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.76
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Saturday 12 September: FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga, played at Mewa Arena. In the table, FSV Mainz 05 are 12th, lower half, on 10 points after 9 matches; Eintracht Frankfurt are 10th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FSV Mainz 05, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Hamburger SV, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Eintracht Frankfurt, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to FC Augsburg, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours FSV Mainz 05, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Eintracht Frankfurt.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FSV Mainz 05 2.4 xG, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.6 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FSV Mainz 05 55%, draw 23%, Eintracht Frankfurt 22%.
Lower-risk option: FSV Mainz 05 or draw (78%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: FSV Mainz 05 to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FSV Mainz 05 or draw (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FSV Mainz 0555%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.70
Eintracht Frankfurt22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
4.00Expected goals
2.44FSV Mainz 05 xG
1.56Eintracht Frankfurt xG
70%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–27%
1–25%
2–05%
From our goals model: FSV Mainz 05 2.4 – 1.6 Eintracht Frankfurt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our pick is FSV Mainz 05 or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
On our numbers FSV Mainz 05 have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Eintracht Frankfurt 22%.
How many goals will there be in FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our predicted score is FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Mewa Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
