Value bet: Werder Bremen to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
Result1. FC Köln to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.50
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 16.17
1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
1. FC Köln welcome Werder Bremen to RheinEnergieStadion for a Bundesliga fixture on Saturday 12 September (17:30 WAT). In the table, 1. FC Köln are 15th, lower half, on 9 points after 9 matches; Werder Bremen are 6th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
1. FC Köln, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to VfB Stuttgart, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Werder Bremen, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over RB Leipzig, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give 1. FC Köln 2.5 xG, Werder Bremen 2.2 xG – a total near 4.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 85% and GG at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – 1. FC Köln 46%, draw 21%, Werder Bremen 33%.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Werder Bremen to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (72%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: 1. FC Köln 2–2 Werder Bremen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
1. FC Köln46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.60
Werder Bremen33%fair 2.99 · @3.20
4.75Expected goals
2.551. FC Köln xG
2.20Werder Bremen xG
72%Both score
85%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
2–16%
3–26%
1–25%
3–15%
2–35%
From our goals model: 1. FC Köln 2.5 – 2.2 Werder Bremen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1. FC Köln to win✗
46%
2.19
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
72%
1.39
1.50 ▲
Draw no bet
1. FC Köln (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Werder Bremen +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
–
First team to score
1. FC Köln to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
1. FC Köln ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1. FC Köln / FT 1. FC Köln✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
16.17
–
Recent results
1. FC Köln – last 6
LWWWDW
4 Sep
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
24 Aug
@ Würzburger Kickers
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Real Sociedad
2–1
W
31 Jul
vs Hertha BSC
2–2
D
23 Jul
@ Bergisch Gladbach
8–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Werder Bremen – last 6
WLWLDW
5 Sep
vs RB Leipzig
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ SC Freiburg
1–4
L
22 Aug
@ Lüneburger SK Hansa
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Auxerre
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs SC Paderborn 07
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Energie Cottbus
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 1. FC Köln and Werder Bremen.
What is the prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?
On our numbers 1. FC Köln have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Werder Bremen 33%.
How many goals will there be in 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?
Our predicted score is 1. FC Köln 2–2 Werder Bremen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?
1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at RheinEnergieStadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
