SC Freiburg v Borussia Mönchengladbach: numbers & prediction

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Saturday 12 September: SC Freiburg v Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga, played at Europa-Park Stadion. In the table, SC Freiburg are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 9 matches; Borussia Mönchengladbach are 18th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

SC Freiburg, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over SC Paderborn 07, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.

Borussia Mönchengladbach, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to SV Elversberg, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours SC Freiburg, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended SC Freiburg 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give SC Freiburg 2.7 xG, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.3 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – SC Freiburg 66%, draw 19%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 15%.
• Lower-risk option: SC Freiburg or draw (85%) at 1.20.
• GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
• Price worth noting: SC Freiburg to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 66%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was SC Freiburg or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Freiburg 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.