Union Berlin 20%Draw 19%Borussia Dortmund 62%Expected goals 1.30 – 2.40
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultBorussia Dortmund to win ✗62% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Bundesliga brings Union Berlin against Borussia Dortmund. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Union Berlin are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 9 matches; Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (among the top four) with 21. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union Berlin, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over SV Elversberg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Borussia Dortmund, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to BodoGlimt, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Borussia Dortmund, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Union Berlin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Berlin 1.3 xG, Borussia Dortmund 2.4 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Berlin 20%, draw 19%, Borussia Dortmund 62%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Berlin 1–2 Borussia Dortmund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Berlin20%fair 5.09 · @4.80
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @4.20
Borussia Dortmund62%fair 1.62 · @1.57
3.70Expected goals
1.30Union Berlin xG
2.40Borussia Dortmund xG
66%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Union Berlin 1.3 – 2.4 Borussia Dortmund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.53
Draw no bet
Borussia Dortmund (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Borussia Dortmund -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
First team to score
Borussia Dortmund to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Union Berlin – last 6
WLLLDW
10 Oct
vs SV Elversberg
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Bayern München
0–7
L
11 Sep
vs FC Schalke 04
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
3–3
D
23 Aug
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
4–2
W
1.5Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund – last 6
LDWWWW
14 Oct
@ BodoGlimt
0–1
L
9 Oct
vs Werder Bremen
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs SC Paderborn 07
3–0
W
8 Sep
vs Villarreal
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund.
What is the prediction for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
On our numbers Union Berlin have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Borussia Dortmund 62%.
How many goals will there be in Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our predicted score is Union Berlin 1–2 Borussia Dortmund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
