Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: VfB Stuttgart to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVfB Stuttgart to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hamburger SV welcome VfB Stuttgart to Volksparkstadion for a Bundesliga fixture on Saturday 17 October (14:30 WAT). In the table, Hamburger SV are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 9 matches; VfB Stuttgart are 8th (upper half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hamburger SV, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over 1899 Hoffenheim, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
VfB Stuttgart, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Slovan Bratislava, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours VfB Stuttgart, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Hamburger SV.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hamburger SV 1.3 xG, VfB Stuttgart 2.4 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hamburger SV 23%, draw 15%, VfB Stuttgart 62%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: VfB Stuttgart to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamburger SV 1–2 VfB Stuttgart. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hamburger SV23%fair 4.41 · @3.75
Draw15%fair 6.47 · @4.20
VfB Stuttgart62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
3.70Expected goals
1.34Hamburger SV xG
2.36VfB Stuttgart xG
67%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Hamburger SV 1.3 – 2.4 VfB Stuttgart expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfB Stuttgart to win✗
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.48
1.40
Draw no bet
VfB Stuttgart (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Hamburger SV +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
First team to score
VfB Stuttgart to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
VfB Stuttgart ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfB Stuttgart / FT VfB Stuttgart✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Hamburger SV – last 6
WWWLLL
10 Oct
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
4 Oct
vs FC Copenhagen
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs 1. FC Köln
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ RB Leipzig
0–5
L
6 Sep
vs FSV Mainz 05
0–5
L
29 Aug
@ Borussia Dortmund
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
VfB Stuttgart – last 6
WWWWLL
14 Oct
@ Slovan Bratislava
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ SC Paderborn 07
2–0
W
1 Oct
vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
5–0
W
25 Sep
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Borussia Dortmund
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart.
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
On our numbers Hamburger SV have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and VfB Stuttgart 62%.
How many goals will there be in Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our predicted score is Hamburger SV 1–2 VfB Stuttgart, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Volksparkstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
