Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultWerder Bremen to win ✗58% · @1.75
Double chanceWerder Bremen or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SC Paderborn 07 travel to face Werder Bremen on Saturday 17 October in the Bundesliga, with Weserstadion the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Werder Bremen are 6th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; SC Paderborn 07 are 13th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Werder Bremen, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Borussia Dortmund, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
SC Paderborn 07, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to VfB Stuttgart, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Werder Bremen, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for SC Paderborn 07.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Werder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Werder Bremen 1.9 xG, SC Paderborn 07 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Werder Bremen 58%, draw 22%, SC Paderborn 07 21%.
Lower-risk option: Werder Bremen or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Werder Bremen or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Werder Bremen 1–1 SC Paderborn 07. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Werder Bremen58%fair 1.73 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.90
SC Paderborn 0721%fair 4.87 · @3.90
3.00Expected goals
1.94Werder Bremen xG
1.06SC Paderborn 07 xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Werder Bremen 1.9 – 1.1 SC Paderborn 07 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our pick is Werder Bremen or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
On our numbers Werder Bremen have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SC Paderborn 07 21%.
How many goals will there be in Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our predicted score is Werder Bremen 1–1 SC Paderborn 07, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Weserstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
