Union Berlin 20%Draw 21%RB Leipzig 59%Expected goals 1.23 – 2.22
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultRB Leipzig to win59% · @1.60
Double chanceRB Leipzig or draw80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score66% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.41
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Saturday 21 November: Union Berlin v RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga. In the table, Union Berlin are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 9 matches; RB Leipzig are 4th (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Union Berlin, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to SC Freiburg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
RB Leipzig, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over FC Augsburg, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours RB Leipzig, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Union Berlin.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended RB Leipzig 3–1 Union Berlin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Berlin 1.2 xG, RB Leipzig 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Berlin 20%, draw 21%, RB Leipzig 59%.
Lower-risk option: RB Leipzig or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.53.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Berlin 1–2 RB Leipzig. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Berlin20%fair 4.94 · @4.50
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.33
RB Leipzig59%fair 1.69 · @1.60
3.46Expected goals
1.23Union Berlin xG
2.22RB Leipzig xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Union Berlin 1.2 – 2.2 RB Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Attack vs Bundesliga average
-36%
+45%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.16
2.12
Our own ratings from every Bundesliga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
On our numbers Union Berlin have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and RB Leipzig 59%.
How many goals will there be in Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
Our predicted score is Union Berlin 1–2 RB Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
