Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultBorussia Dortmund to win56% · @1.65
Double chanceBorussia Dortmund or draw79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.23
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 November the Bundesliga brings Borussia Mönchengladbach against Borussia Dortmund at Borussia-Park. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Borussia Mönchengladbach are 18th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 9 matches; Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (among the top four) with 21. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Borussia Mönchengladbach, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Hamburger SV, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Borussia Dortmund, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over SV Elversberg, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Borussia Dortmund, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.2 xG, Borussia Dortmund 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Borussia Mönchengladbach 21%, draw 23%, Borussia Dortmund 56%.
Lower-risk option: Borussia Dortmund or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Borussia Dortmund or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 Borussia Dortmund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Borussia Mönchengladbach21%fair 4.80 · @4.33
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.10
Borussia Dortmund56%fair 1.79 · @1.65
3.18Expected goals
1.20Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
1.98Borussia Dortmund xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.2 – 2.0 Borussia Dortmund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
Attack vs Bundesliga average
-13%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+35%
-34%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.82
Our own ratings from every Bundesliga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win
56%
1.79
1.65
Double chance
Borussia Dortmund or draw
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.61
1.50
Draw no bet
Borussia Dortmund (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Borussia Mönchengladbach +1.5 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
83%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.28
First team to score
Borussia Dortmund to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Borussia Mönchengladbach – last 6
LDWWLL
6 Nov
@ Hamburger SV
1–3
L
31 Oct
vs SC Paderborn 07
0–0
D
27 Oct
vs Karlsruher SC
2–0
W
23 Oct
@ VfB Stuttgart
3–2
W
18 Oct
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ 1. FC Köln
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund – last 6
WWDWWW
7 Nov
vs SV Elversberg
2–1
W
4 Nov
vs Real Betis
2–1
W
31 Oct
@ Bayern München
2–2
D
27 Oct
vs Werder Bremen
3–2
W
24 Oct
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
1–0
W
20 Oct
@ Sabah FA
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Mönchengladbach and Borussia Dortmund.
What is the prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our pick is Borussia Dortmund or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
On our numbers Borussia Mönchengladbach have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Borussia Dortmund 56%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our predicted score is Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 Borussia Dortmund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Borussia-Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
