Value bet: SV Elversberg to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSC Freiburg to win42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.30
SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SC Freiburg travel to face SV Elversberg on Saturday 21 November in the Bundesliga, with Waldstadion Kaiserlinde the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, SV Elversberg are 7th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; SC Freiburg are 3rd (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
SV Elversberg, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Borussia Dortmund, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
SC Freiburg, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Union Berlin, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours SC Freiburg, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for SV Elversberg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SV Elversberg 1.7 xG, SC Freiburg 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SV Elversberg 35%, draw 22%, SC Freiburg 42%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: SV Elversberg to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: SV Elversberg 2–1 SC Freiburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SV Elversberg35%fair 2.82 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.80
SC Freiburg42%fair 2.38 · @2.00
3.45Expected goals
1.73SV Elversberg xG
1.72SC Freiburg xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: SV Elversberg 1.7 – 1.7 SC Freiburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
SV Elversberg
SC Freiburg
Attack vs Bundesliga average
+9%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.86
1.60
Our own ratings from every Bundesliga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Freiburg to win
42%
2.38
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
65%
1.54
1.44
Draw no bet
SC Freiburg (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
SC Freiburg +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.25
First team to score
SV Elversberg to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
36%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SV Elversberg / FT SV Elversberg
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.30
–
Recent results
SV Elversberg – last 6
LWLLWL
7 Nov
@ Borussia Dortmund
1–2
L
30 Oct
vs FSV Mainz 05
4–1
W
27 Oct
vs SV Darmstadt 98
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ RB Leipzig
0–4
L
17 Oct
vs FC Augsburg
4–3
W
10 Oct
@ Union Berlin
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SC Freiburg – last 6
WWWWLL
8 Nov
vs Union Berlin
2–0
W
5 Nov
@ Trabzonspor
1–0
W
31 Oct
@ FC Augsburg
2–1
W
28 Oct
vs VfL Wolfsburg
3–2
W
25 Oct
vs Bayern München
1–3
L
22 Oct
@ Monaco
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SV Elversberg and SC Freiburg.
What is the prediction for SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
On our numbers SV Elversberg have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SC Freiburg 42%.
How many goals will there be in SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
Our predicted score is SV Elversberg 2–1 SC Freiburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
