Estrela v Academico Viseu Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultEstrela to win ✗48% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.80

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11

Estrela vs Academico Viseu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:30 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Estrela v Academico Viseu in the Primeira Liga, played at Estadio Jose Gomes. In the table, Estrela are 12th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Academico Viseu are 6th (upper half) with 20.

Current form

Estrela, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Rio Ave, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Academico Viseu, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vitória SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Estrela 2.0 xG, Academico Viseu 1.5 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Estrela 48%, draw 23%, Academico Viseu 29%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estrela 1–1 Academico Viseu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Estrela48%fair 2.09 · @2.15

Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10

Academico Viseu29%fair 3.45 · @3.30

3.50Expected goals

1.98Estrela xG

1.52Academico Viseu xG

64%Both score

68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%

2–19%

1–27%

2–27%

1–06%

3–16%

From our goals model: Estrela 2.0 – 1.5 Academico Viseu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Estrela to win ✗	48%	2.09	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	64%	1.57	1.80 ▲
Draw no bet	Estrela (draw no bet) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Asian handicap	Academico Viseu +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	54%	1.86	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	73%	1.38	–
First team to score	Estrela to score first ✗	55%	1.82	–
Half-time result	Estrela ahead at half-time ✗	38%	2.64	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Estrela / FT Estrela ✗	30%	3.32	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.11	–

Estrela – last 6

DWDWDD

14 Sep	@ Rio Ave	3–3	D
10 Sep	vs SC Braga	2–1	W
5 Sep	vs Famalicao	2–2	D
30 Aug	@ Nacional	3–2	W
15 Aug	@ Alverca	2–2	D
8 Aug	vs Sporting CP	2–2	D

2.3Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Academico Viseu – last 6

WWLDLD

12 Sep	vs Vitória SC	2–1	W
6 Sep	@ GIL Vicente	1–0	W
29 Aug	vs FC Porto	0–3	L
22 Aug	@ Maritimo	2–2	D
15 Aug	vs Santa Clara	0–1	L
9 Aug	@ Benfica	2–2	D

1.2Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	11	11	0	0	+22	33
2	Benfica	11	9	1	1	+20	28
3	Sporting CP	11	7	3	1	+13	24
4	Santa Clara	11	6	3	2	+8	21
5	Arouca	11	6	2	3	+5	20
6	Academico Viseu	11	6	2	3	+2	20
7	GIL Vicente	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	SC Braga	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Moreirense	11	4	2	5	-5	14
10	Famalicao	11	3	4	4	+1	13
11	Alverca	11	3	3	5	-1	12
12	Estrela	11	2	4	5	-5	10
13	Nacional	11	3	1	7	-8	10
14	Vitória SC	11	2	3	6	-1	9
15	Maritimo	10	2	2	6	-12	8
16	Casa Pia	11	2	2	7	-14	8
17	Rio Ave	11	2	1	8	-15	7
18	Estoril	10	0	2	8	-14	2

Team

Pts

+22

+20

+13

-5

-1

-5

-8

-1

-12

-14

-15

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estrela vs Academico Viseu?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Estrela vs Academico Viseu?

On our numbers Estrela have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Academico Viseu 29%.

How many goals will there be in Estrela vs Academico Viseu?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Estrela vs Academico Viseu?

Our predicted score is Estrela 1–1 Academico Viseu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Estrela vs Academico Viseu?

Estrela vs Academico Viseu (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Gomes.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Estrela v Academico Viseu: numbers & prediction